"I personally believe it will happen and make personal preparations.... 

Society just can't accept the idea that 50 percent of the population could die. And I think we have to face that possibility.... 

I'm sorry if I'm making people a little frightened, but I feel it's my role."

-- Robert G. Webster, world-renowned virologist at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital

Source:  Renowned Bird Flu Expert Warns: Be Prepared, ABC News, March 14, 2006  -  ABC News Video




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"An influenza pandemic of even moderate impact will result in the biggest single human disaster ever - far greater than AIDS, 9/11, all wars in the 20th century and the recent tsunami combined. It has the potential to redirect world history as the Black Death redirected European history in the 14th century."

-- Michael T. Osterholm, Director, Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota

Source:  Bird Flu Could Kill Millions, The Gazette (Montreal), Front Page, March 9, 2005



"This is going to be the most catastrophic thing in my lifetime. When this situation unfolds, we will shut down global markets overnight. There will not be movement of goods; there will not be movement of people. This will last for at least a year, maybe two."

-- Dr. Osterholm, speaking to a conference of agricultural bankers

Source:  Bird Flu Seen as the Next Pandemic Star Tribune (Minneapolis), November 16, 2004
(reproduced at Pathobiologics)



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"A Russian virus expert warned that a human pandemic of the bird flu virus was highly likely and called on the government to stock up on medicine and prepare hospital beds.

'No quarantine measure can prevent the pandemic. It can only slow it for a few days,' Dmitry Lvov, director of the Virology Institute at the Russian Academy of Sciences said at a news conference in Moscow....

The Russian expert warned there was a 90 percent likelihood that the current form of the H5N1 bird flu virus could mutate into a form easily transmissible between humans."

-- Today Online, March 8, 2006  (also see Russian News & Information Agency)




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